Arabfields, Lamia Cherifa, Special Economic Correspondent, Moscow, Russia — Russia has recorded a significant increase in grain exports in 2026, with shipments rising by 18 per cent in volume between January and mid-October, as demand from African and other international markets continues to support its agricultural trade.
Agriculture Minister Oksana Lut announced the figures on November 10, noting that export revenues also increased by 15 per cent over the same period. The performance highlights the resilience of Russia’s agricultural sector despite international trade restrictions, logistical difficulties and broader economic uncertainties.
African countries remain among the leading destinations for Russian grain, reflecting the growing importance of the continent in global food supply chains. Egypt, Turkey, Kazakhstan and Sudan were identified as major buyers, underlining the geographical diversity of Russia’s export markets.
For countries that depend heavily on imported wheat, particularly in North Africa and the Middle East, Russian supplies remain an important component of food security. Egypt, one of the world’s largest wheat importers, has maintained strong commercial links with Russian exporters, while Sudan represents another significant market for agricultural shipments.
The increase also comes at a critical time for Russia’s domestic agricultural industry. According to figures released by the Russian Agriculture Ministry, more than 135 million tonnes of grain and legumes had been harvested by the end of October, representing approximately 90 to 95 per cent of the expected harvest.
The country’s total grain and legume production is projected to reach between 139 million and 141.8 million tonnes in 2026, including an estimated 89 million to 90 million tonnes of wheat.
For Russian farmers, the export performance offers an important source of income at a time when access to international markets remains essential to maintaining production profitability. Strong overseas demand can help agricultural producers secure buyers for their harvests, support investment in farming equipment and sustain employment across rural communities.
However, higher export volumes do not necessarily translate into stronger financial returns. The 18 per cent increase in tonnage compared with a 15 per cent rise in export value suggests that average export earnings per tonne have grown more slowly. This reflects the influence of international grain prices, competition and transportation expenses.
Logistical conditions will also remain an important factor. Russian exporters are adapting their shipping operations and relying on different port facilities to maintain access to overseas customers. Changes in transport costs and shipping capacity could influence the pace of deliveries during the remainder of the agricultural season.
Looking ahead to 2027, Russia is expected to remain a major supplier to international grain markets, although the outlook will depend on weather conditions, global prices and the ability of exporters to maintain reliable shipping routes.
International market projections suggest that Russian wheat exports could reach approximately 39 million to 40 million tonnes during the 2026/27 marketing season. This indicates that competition among major exporting countries is likely to remain intense.
For African importing nations, continued access to Russian grain could help diversify supply sources and reduce exposure to disruptions in other exporting regions. Nevertheless, exchange-rate movements, freight costs and changing international prices will continue to influence the final cost of imported food.
The latest figures reinforce Russia’s position as an important player in global agricultural trade. But for farmers, traders and consumers, the real measure of success will be whether increased export activity translates into more stable incomes, dependable supplies and affordable food in the months ahead.
