Arabfields, Meriem Senouci, Correspondent, Hanoï, Vietnam — Vietnam’s domestic coffee prices moved higher this week as tightening supplies outweighed sluggish buying activity, highlighting the persistent imbalance between available stocks and market demand in one of the world’s largest coffee producing nations.
Traders reported that many growers have already sold a significant share of their inventories, leaving fewer beans available for the domestic market. Although purchasing interest from exporters and local buyers remained relatively weak, limited supplies continued to support higher prices across major producing provinces.
Market participants said farmers have become increasingly cautious about releasing their remaining stocks, expecting stronger prices later in the season. This cautious approach has reduced the volume of coffee entering the market, even as buyers remain selective because of softer global demand and elevated price levels.
Recent industry estimates indicate that Vietnam’s coffee production for the 2025/26 season is expected to remain close to 29 million 60 kilogram bags, while exports during the first half of 2026 have slowed slightly compared with the same period a year earlier. Despite lower trading volumes, export revenues have remained resilient because of historically high coffee prices.
Coffee processors and exporters noted that current market conditions have made procurement more challenging. Some exporters are delaying purchases in anticipation of increased arrivals later in the year, while others continue to secure supplies to meet contractual commitments.
Analysts believe domestic prices are likely to remain firm in the coming months if inventories continue to tighten before the next harvest. However, a recovery in production, combined with improved export flows and a gradual rebound in international demand, could stabilize the market and reduce price volatility toward the end of the marketing season.
